Saturday, November 17, 2007

Who's Behind the Push Polling Against Romney?

Here's the story right here. New Hampshire and Iowa residents are reporting calls from a polling agency that asks a number of questions directed against Romney. Example of a question:

"Some people say the Mormon Church is a cult, would that make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney?"

Later the questions take a positive tone toward McCain. Apparenly questions such as this followed: "If you knew that John McCain was a Navy pilot, would that make you more or less likely to vote for him? If you know he had 300 carrier landings would that make you more or less likely to vote for him? If you knew he was prisoner of war in Vietnam, would that make you more or less likely to vote for him? "

Now someone is behind this push polling, right? So the question is: who?

The easiest person to target is McCain. After all, McCain is the one who ends up looking good from the whole thing. Further, he was the victim of push polling back in 2000 when Karl Rove and George Bush made up lies that he had an "illegitimate" black child in South Carolina. Throughout this current campaign, McCain seems to have "learned" his mistakes from the 2000 campaign. Trying his best to embrace the religious Right as just one example. Another may have been: "the next time you run for president, use push polling."

So it could be someone involved with McCain but my guess is that it's not. My guess is that it's Guiliani. This could simply be paranoid of me but I think it makes more sense. Guiliani has a ton to lose when it comes to how well Romney does in Iowa and New Hampshire. He currently commands a huge lead in national polls, but the first states that vote are where he is seriously lacking. His campaign must be aware that the momentum Romney will get from Iowa and New Hampshire will boost his name recognition and could allow momentum for him to cut into Guiliani's lead in other states. So the idea behind this push poll could have easily been to target Romney and sort of, frame McCain. At this point, Guiliani doesn't have much to lose by a push poll that supports McCain in Iowa and New Hampshire. But he has much to gain by a push poll that attacks Romney in those states.

Any way, it's nice to see these GOP candidates at each other's throats or ranting about how we have to nuke people and virtually ignoring, side stepping, creating spurious arguments around, or oversimplifying every real issue. The GOP primary is kind of like watching a contest on who is the biggest embarrassment to the human race...and strangely everyone one of them wants to win that prize.

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